Wednesday, December 24, 2008

24 Dec Christmas

Forex trend to watch would be the hitting parity of GBP and Euro. However London would likely emerge from the recession earlier than Europe.

Euro:GBP = 1.1 to 1.2 would be a good buy. 8 Jan BOE rate decision, 15 Jan ECB rate decision.

Now Euro at 1.4000, after retreating from 1.4719. PERHAPS Euro has another leg up to perhaps 1.4900-1.5000 before retreating into 1.3000 for a while.

Watch next week and the 1st week of Jan for the move.

Treasuries USB/UST now showing topping action. With VIX at low, does this foretell a rally in Equities ? SPX now at 860, trying to poke the sacred 850.

Interesting times indeed, welcome comments and discussion.

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