Sunday, August 17, 2008

17 Aug Georgia to join NATO. War is brewing.

Merkel visiting Tbilisi, has invited Georgia to join NATO,
Saakhasvilli is refusing to cede any land to Russia.

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3570539,00.html

If Georgia join NATO, Russia would be up against the whole of Europe, US, UK Turkey, etc.

Russia has to seize first mover advantage now and retake Tbilisi and install a Russia friendly government. In order to stall NATO forces, it need to take down the oil pipeline, and cut Europe oil supply. This would make NATO hesistant to mobilising its Naval Armanda, and aircraft without secured long term fuel supply.

Meanwhile, Iran would blockade the Homuz Straits in support of Russia.
BTW, Iran would speed up its plutonium enrichment program. By mid 2009, Iran would be able to equip its missle warhead with nuclear, (Russia would send in some newer long range missles infact).

As a parallel event, Israel would now to start activate its military strike preparation against Iran.

While China would play good guy and try to mediate. (a fight between Russia and US would propel China into a superpower). And UN with a hapless Ban Kee Moon.

Probably, the Taliban elements would take advantage and activate its sleeper cells with the proverbial suitcase nuclear device.
(it was reported that the New York state government has ordered more Geiger Counter recently).

By the time Olympics, the world is back to the reality of superpower competition.

IF you agree this is the scenario, pls click on the Google Ads.

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